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Rantings of a Sandmonkey

Be forewarned: The writer of this blog is an extremely cynical, snarky, pro-US, secular, libertarian, disgruntled sandmonkey. If this is your cup of tea, please enjoy your stay here. If not, please sod off

Thursday, December 30, 2004

Mommy, lets hide under the bed, Iraq may be going to hell in a handbasket!

Ok, i am sorry, but i am kinda sick and tired of hearing about how Iraq is spiralling towards a civil war between the different ethnic groups. How the Sunnis and the Shia's and the Kurds are all gonna start killing eachother, and that all the bombings and insurgency are evidence of that. I have been hearing that for like 2 years now. I heard it first when Ayotallah El Sistani created all those demonstrations by the Shia's and nothing happend. I heard it when Muqtada El Sadr "bravely" stood up to the american troops by hiding in Aly's shrine- a Shiite holy site- at Sadr City and having his Mujahedeen hold other iraqis hostage for him so the troops would think twice before launching a full attack on him. And now we are hearing it again, according to this analysis by the Middle East Times. And i still don't buy it! Sorry, but it just won't happen, at least not anytime soon. Not as long as there are american soldiers there. The common iraqi may not lose much sleep over american soldiers getting killed- even though they should- but he/she would never stand for a civil war. Not to mention, who is gonna do the fighting? Is it gonna be the Sunnis vs. The kurds? The Shia vs. The Sunnis? Everyone against eachother in a free-for-all? Who is gonna lead this suppsoed civil war? And, how exactly, will it take place while there are still US troops there? The insurgancy may make lots of noise and lots of explosions and steal headlines, but for the most part those are independent cells and they are not a in any way a true representation of any majority of the iraqi population. It's not like they have popular support in iraq really;They kill their fair share of iraqi civillians with their bombs as well. People who may hate americans may support the insurgants in a fight against the US troops, but the enemy of my enemy is not necessarily my friend once my enemy is gone. I, for one, will hold any predictions or harbingers or prophecies of impending doom until after the January elections take place.Let's see who wins first and what their agenda is going to be and how the Iraqis will take it. Sure, its not gonna be pretty from now til then, but lets hope for the best anyway.


At 12/30/2004 04:00:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Excuse me, what is a sandmonkey?


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