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Rantings of a Sandmonkey

Be forewarned: The writer of this blog is an extremely cynical, snarky, pro-US, secular, libertarian, disgruntled sandmonkey. If this is your cup of tea, please enjoy your stay here. If not, please sod off

Friday, November 18, 2005

The Iranian leadership divide deepens

Remember how the Iranians leadership have been worried about Ahmdinjad and wanted to rein him in because of the shit he pulls? Ahh, that situation doesn't seem like it's gonna get resolved anytime soon. Iran is facing political paralysis as its newly elected president purges government institutions, bringing accusations that he is undertaking a coup d'état. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's clearout of his opponents began last month but is more sweeping than previously understood and has reached almost every branch of government, the Guardian has learned. Dozens of deputy ministers have been sacked this month in several government departments, as well the heads of the state insurance and privatisation organisations. Last week, seven state bank presidents were dismissed in what an Iranian source described as "a coup d'état". An informed Iranian source with first-hand knowledge of all the main political and clerical figures in the country said: "Ahmadinejad is defying everybody. He does whatever he wants and considers it to be right. This is not how things are done in Iran." [...] In a sign of divisions at the top of the clerical establishment, the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has until now supported Mr Ahmadinejad, said "irregularities" in the government's behaviour would not be tolerated. Ok, now here is the problem. The supreme leader has absolute power amongst the celrical establishment, but A.J. is part of the revoloutionary guard and backed by them. The Revoloutionary guard are also those who are keeping the government in power, so.. yeah.. in case of an open confrontation, there is the danger of A.J. starting a take-over and sacking the clerical council all together. And he could do it with popular support, because the clerics have grown corrupt and greedy. Now imagine an Iran where A.J., with his views, has absolute power over everything. Yeah, war, not good. Potential confrontation in Israel, more backing to the terrorist in Iraq, more funds going to Hezbollah and more support to Bashar's regime in Syria. So, as you can see, this situation in Iran, unless it gets defused somehow, has the potential of messing things up in this part of the world big time. Like things are not messed up enough as it is. sigh...

8 Comments:

At 11/19/2005 01:51:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

My theory is that a theocracy is worse than a Fascist dictatorship, so if he wipes out the Council of Guardians, that will be a good thing.

 
At 11/19/2005 11:21:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yes, I also think Sandmonkey's analysis very interesting. If you are right, the Ayatolahs have repeated the classic mistake of all tyrants ever in assuming that they will always have control of the powers they create to protect them (like the Revolutionary Guards). But just like the terror groups supported by Arafat, such powers always develop their own agenda sooner or later.

 
At 11/19/2005 01:38:00 PM, Blogger programmer craig said...

I agree with Don. A military dictatorship isn't run by people who pretend they talk to God. Much easier to deal with. Also, military people tend to be a lot more pragmatic and survival oriented than religious nuts. I supoort Aliasswipewhateverhsiname in his bid for power.

 
At 11/19/2005 03:28:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

... Except for the fact that Ahmedijad is a blazing religious looney in his own way..

http://today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2005-11-17T155031Z_01_SCH756562_RTRUKOC_0_US-RELIGION-IRAN-AHMADINEJAD.xml&archived=False

 
At 11/19/2005 06:32:00 PM, Blogger Papa Ray said...

I have an alternate theory.

Ahmedijad is only following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei orders and wishes.

Papa Ray

 
At 11/19/2005 08:21:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't think there is much difference between religious dictatorships and secular ones. The Nazis were supposedly secular, you know, and so was Saddam (at least to start with).

 
At 11/20/2005 01:11:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm not supporting the new Iranian President or his allies. I think he is an applalling person. All I say is that a theocracy is even worse.

 
At 11/20/2005 01:12:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

appalling

 

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